MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Implied probability
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Implied probability
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Total capital supporting the market
Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 AM
Estimated closing window
Price trajectory
Candlestick-inspired line tracking the Yes contract probability over the selected interval. Hover to inspect inflection points or switch outcomes using the cards below.
Outcome breakdown
Track how each outcome's price, liquidity, and recent activity stack up. Figures are refreshed from the Polymarket order book on every poll.
Outcome 1
Last trade –
Market health snapshot
Use these metrics to gauge depth, execution costs, and incentive structures before routing orders to the native exchange.
99.9%
100.0%
0.001
99.9%
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0.0%
$4.4M
$7.4M
$200 / 4.50%