Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Implied probability
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Implied probability
$718.8K
Total capital supporting the market
Jul 20, 2026, 12:00 AM
Estimated closing window
Price trajectory
Candlestick-inspired line tracking the Yes contract probability over the selected interval. Hover to inspect inflection points or switch outcomes using the cards below.
Outcome breakdown
Track how each outcome's price, liquidity, and recent activity stack up. Figures are refreshed from the Polymarket order book on every poll.
Outcome 1
Last trade –
Market health snapshot
Use these metrics to gauge depth, execution costs, and incentive structures before routing orders to the native exchange.
15.0%
15.1%
0.001
15.1%
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89.1%
$567.2K
$1.5M
$20 / 3.50%