Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Implied probability
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Implied probability
$3.0M
Total capital supporting the market
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 AM
Estimated closing window
Price trajectory
Candlestick-inspired line tracking the Yes contract probability over the selected interval. Hover to inspect inflection points or switch outcomes using the cards below.
Outcome breakdown
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Outcome 1
Last trade –
Market health snapshot
Use these metrics to gauge depth, execution costs, and incentive structures before routing orders to the native exchange.
99.7%
99.8%
0.001
99.7%
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80.2%
$48.2M
$56.5M
$200 / 3.50%